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The Big Idea

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Does Your Group Come From a Different Population Than the One Specified?
The problem is that if you calculate a sample mean and it is different from the one hypothesized, there are two possible reasons for the difference:

  • Your sample comes from a different population and the sample mean represents a different population mean. When this happens, you reject the Null Hypothesis.

  • The group comes from the same population and the mean varies by chance. You just happened to pick a sample group with a mean that misrepresents the population it came from. The group isn't really different. When this happens, you fail to reject the Null Hypothesis.

The statistic you need to decide whether to reject or fail to reject the Null Hypothesis is the one-sample t test. This statistic compares the sample mean to the population mean and gets an estimate of the probability that the sample mean is different by chance.

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